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Nov 1, 2012
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a population roughly equivalent to all the people who voted either for john mccain or barack obama in 2008. one entire side of the voting population in this upcoming election is the portion of our country that lives on the edge. as we continue to cope with and rescue people from and now recover bodies from, the impact of this one storm on the most populated part of america's coastline today, the governor of new york state has been again and again trying to draw people's attention to this not being just one event, but a challenge for the whole country that events like this might now be happening with increased frequen frequency. not just in new york, but in all of theseeavily populated places, that before now had a fairly predictable relationship with the body of water, with the ocean, that they abut. what is that predictability? that balanced and expectation, developed over the past couple of centuries, and these cities on the water is now over. mostly this gets talked about in terms of the people denying that climate change is a real thing, and big talk about whether we should try to
a population roughly equivalent to all the people who voted either for john mccain or barack obama in 2008. one entire side of the voting population in this upcoming election is the portion of our country that lives on the edge. as we continue to cope with and rescue people from and now recover bodies from, the impact of this one storm on the most populated part of america's coastline today, the governor of new york state has been again and again trying to draw people's attention to this not...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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right here it is, be the question of disaster relief. let's privatize it, send it to the private sector. it does reinforce that narrative. >> what i've been wondering about is there enough time left for the obama campaign to do a commercial with that video that you just showed? the problem is, there's this whole kind of dignity aftermath that you have to maintain so you don't get aused by the immediate -- accused of the media by exploiting this event. this is what government is about and by the way, it's one of those other great things that the debates missed as they always do. there will always be something that matters in the last week that was never mentioned in the debates. and i just think that there's this video gold of romney saying if i'm president now, my hope is that i'd be supplying you with nothing. that is my hope. i don't know what congress would allow me to do but that's my hope. the idea that we will construct some sort of media notion of what is right, that says, no, you must not remind people of that, you the obama team
right here it is, be the question of disaster relief. let's privatize it, send it to the private sector. it does reinforce that narrative. >> what i've been wondering about is there enough time left for the obama campaign to do a commercial with that video that you just showed? the problem is, there's this whole kind of dignity aftermath that you have to maintain so you don't get aused by the immediate -- accused of the media by exploiting this event. this is what government is about and...
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Oct 31, 2012
10/12
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. >> i mean, if you look -- if you think that the quinnipiac poll is right about ohio, then the obama explanation of why they're going into these states is more credible. >> these states being michigan and pennsylvania. >> which is not oh, my god, the sky is falling, we're losing everywhere, we need to play a lot of defense, but rather, you know, they can't win ohio, so they're looking for another place. so we've got enough money to make sure that nothing goes wrong. the president's not going to win these battleground states by the same margins he won last time. there's some natural tightening. most of these states elected republican governors two years ago. >> two years ago. >> and so the president would be happy winning these states by two or three points. >> michigan, 2 1/2 points. this is one of these states that we republicans stopped expecting to win when ronald reagan retired. you usually put it in the pennsylvania category. do you believe mitt romney's within the margin of error in michigan? >> i tend to think -- i tend to give the benefit of the doubt to good polls. >> that's
. >> i mean, if you look -- if you think that the quinnipiac poll is right about ohio, then the obama explanation of why they're going into these states is more credible. >> these states being michigan and pennsylvania. >> which is not oh, my god, the sky is falling, we're losing everywhere, we need to play a lot of defense, but rather, you know, they can't win ohio, so they're looking for another place. so we've got enough money to make sure that nothing goes wrong. the...
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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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you've got a bunker to the left of you and a bunker to the right of you. and remember, this is client golf. >>> welcome back, everybody. one of mitt romney's strongest supporters has nothing, but praise for president obama's response to the sandy disaster. the president's beenec spooing with governors christie and cuomo as well as several mayors in town impacted by the super storm. as for this election the president says that will take a backseat. >> the election will take care of itself next week. right now our number one priority is to make sure that we are saving lives. >> nbc news political director chuck todd joins me now to fill us in on what we know about what the president is doing. chuck, i just got this note passed to my desk that the president will remain in d.c. through tomorrow, not going out on the campaign trail. this is a big effect coming into the homestretch. >> he's canceled tomorrow's events. you would assume in some form or another governor romney will blow back some events. they've canceled some today, for instance, on romney's side,
you've got a bunker to the left of you and a bunker to the right of you. and remember, this is client golf. >>> welcome back, everybody. one of mitt romney's strongest supporters has nothing, but praise for president obama's response to the sandy disaster. the president's beenec spooing with governors christie and cuomo as well as several mayors in town impacted by the super storm. as for this election the president says that will take a backseat. >> the election will take care...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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president obama is back on the campaign industrial. and the rewrite tonight we will rewrite your understanding of the new york. and the islands that is the biggest small town in america coming up. the mayor says hurricane sandy played a part. the part of the city you have probably never been an know nothing about. and that is in tonight's rewrite. >>> we must shoulder our common hope. that is the hope i'm asking you to share. that is the future in our sights. that is why i'm asking for your vote. that is why i need you early voting tomorrow. that is why i need young people. with five days until the election. president campaigned where he delivered this message. >> the folks at the top in this country, they don't need a champion in washington. they will have a seat at the table. they will have access and influence. we understand that but the people who need a champion are the letters whose i read every night. those young people and small farm towns and up here kids dreaming of becoming scientists maybe even a president they need a champ
president obama is back on the campaign industrial. and the rewrite tonight we will rewrite your understanding of the new york. and the islands that is the biggest small town in america coming up. the mayor says hurricane sandy played a part. the part of the city you have probably never been an know nothing about. and that is in tonight's rewrite. >>> we must shoulder our common hope. that is the hope i'm asking you to share. that is the future in our sights. that is why i'm asking for...
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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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if obama picks up virginia, it ends things. >> it's dead even right now, but one of the things karen finney pointed out is latinos are underpolled nationwide partly because of a language barrier. you don't get an accurate reading and we talked about before in 2010 colorado, harry reid, a lot of latinos there. they trailed sharon engel by three points at the end and he wins. they're not correctly polling latinos and hispanics. virginia is a huge thing. 80% of the state, and a 92% increase since 2000. if you see an irregularity or differentiation from the polling in colorado, virginia, florida and perhaps florida on election night because they didn't correctly poll lati teenotices. >> virginia will come down to the d, democrats. 200,000 defense jobs are on the line with that sequestration looming on the horizon. the president knows that. i think george allen and tim kainen that. george allen has a new ad talking about it. >> the defense cuts tim kaine are threatening over 200,000 virginia jobs. the solution is to raise taxes. that will cost even more jobs. >> i think there's making a b
if obama picks up virginia, it ends things. >> it's dead even right now, but one of the things karen finney pointed out is latinos are underpolled nationwide partly because of a language barrier. you don't get an accurate reading and we talked about before in 2010 colorado, harry reid, a lot of latinos there. they trailed sharon engel by three points at the end and he wins. they're not correctly polling latinos and hispanics. virginia is a huge thing. 80% of the state, and a 92% increase...
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Oct 30, 2012
10/12
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it's down to 47%, obama, 41% for romney. we'll be right back. ♪ ooh baby, looks like you need a little help there ♪ ♪ ooh baby, can i do for you today? ♪ [ female announcer ] need help keeping your digestive balance? align can help. only align has bifantis, a patented probiotic that naturally helps maintain your digestive balance. try align to help retain a balanced digestive system. try the #1 gastroenterologist recommended probiotic. align. >>> welcome back to "hardball." we now know this election may very well come down to ohio. and in the last few days the romney campaign has done some things even independent observers consider desperate. first came this from mitt romney last thursday in defiance, ohio, about an hour away from toledo. >> i saw one of the great manufacturers in this state, jeep, now owned by the italians, is thinking of moving all production to china. i will fight for every good job in america. i'm going to fight to make sure trade is fair, and if it's fair, america will win. >> sounds terrible, b
it's down to 47%, obama, 41% for romney. we'll be right back. ♪ ooh baby, looks like you need a little help there ♪ ♪ ooh baby, can i do for you today? ♪ [ female announcer ] need help keeping your digestive balance? align can help. only align has bifantis, a patented probiotic that naturally helps maintain your digestive balance. try align to help retain a balanced digestive system. try the #1 gastroenterologist recommended probiotic. align. >>> welcome back to...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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take obama. you alluded to early voting right there. there's this lag obama is doing pretty well in the swing states, but in the national horse race he's as best tied with romney and at worst he's down a point. it raises the possibility of that split verdict. you lose the popular vote and win the electoral college. the reason for that as i outlined last week is he is lagging particularly in the blue states, in the northeast, in the states that are being hit by this. it's not he's going to lose these states. he's not going to lose, connecticut, new jersey, massachusetts, but his falloff is pronounced with democrats in those states. if early voting is sus ppended maryland, it's the mobilization the obama campaign is relying on. if that's going to be difficult to do in these blue states, it could potentially worsen that blue state problem. the one for romney that jumps out at me, he's behind in these swing states. so the question is he needs something over the last week that's going to make him jump two points or three points in ohio or wi
take obama. you alluded to early voting right there. there's this lag obama is doing pretty well in the swing states, but in the national horse race he's as best tied with romney and at worst he's down a point. it raises the possibility of that split verdict. you lose the popular vote and win the electoral college. the reason for that as i outlined last week is he is lagging particularly in the blue states, in the northeast, in the states that are being hit by this. it's not he's going to lose...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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there's generally a huge advantage the left has over the right that is apparent. what obama is doing and what allies like -- like, the afl, it's a larger gap between how the left and right practice politics on the ground than there's been in any other aspect in campaigning in the last generation. >> one of the things you have written about. the book is fantastic. i recommend people take a look. >> thank you. >> there's been this impure schism brought. i say this with all the freight that it carries to the al ka mists at the table. you have people that are actually coming out of academia and doing actual field experiments, controlled experiments and using that to bring it to bear. i want to show this study from 2009. one of the people you talk about. he went through and said does having a field office actually increase turnout? he did this analysis, the democratic vote chair in counties without a field office. he found there was a significant difference. he thought the presence at field office, if you have an obama office, the turnout over if you didn't. those thre
there's generally a huge advantage the left has over the right that is apparent. what obama is doing and what allies like -- like, the afl, it's a larger gap between how the left and right practice politics on the ground than there's been in any other aspect in campaigning in the last generation. >> one of the things you have written about. the book is fantastic. i recommend people take a look. >> thank you. >> there's been this impure schism brought. i say this with all the...
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Nov 2, 2012
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. >> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of ndiaying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs which is way above the 125,000 predicted, and now we have three months of 170,000-plus. >> you notice -- >> so it is starting to go up substantially. >> if you compare it to what happened when -- four years ago, i think they lost 400,000 jobs or so this month, it is change for the better. i notice -- >> i'd say. >> i notice today there was a lot less arguing about these jobs numbers than there have been the last -- >> you spoke too soon. someone who wasn't pleased with the jobs report was mitt romney. here he is with his statement. the candidate said, quote, this is a statem
. >> i think right now i'd rather be barack obama than mitt romney. if you look at the polls, his campaign feels pretty good about where they are, and so he's sort of ndiaying this. >> i get up this morning and started clocking it around 8:00. i started clocking minute to minute to minute to get the jobless number. then i go, i did say this before, i said if it's underrated it's okay for obama. if it's up a tick it's okay. but i didn't think the good news would be 171,000 new jobs...
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Nov 1, 2012
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president obama? >> yes. when he took over, we were in one of the worst recessions we had seen in recent times, close to a depression, and i saw over the next several years stabilization come back in the financial community, housing is starting to pick up. president saved the auto industry, and the action he has taken with respect to protecting us from terrorism have been very, very solid. and so i think we ought to keep on the track we are on. >> well, he hasn't got mother teresa yet. she's lost to us, but he's gotten the most trusted man in america, his name is bill clinton right now according to recent polling. he has general colin powell who has long been one of the most trusted people in the country, and prouow probably the savviest pol, the mayor of new york. >> the most important point you were in the middle of making, the endorsements would have -- the nonendorsements would have actually been a bigger deal in some ways and this doesn't take away from anything and the president is able to use p
president obama? >> yes. when he took over, we were in one of the worst recessions we had seen in recent times, close to a depression, and i saw over the next several years stabilization come back in the financial community, housing is starting to pick up. president saved the auto industry, and the action he has taken with respect to protecting us from terrorism have been very, very solid. and so i think we ought to keep on the track we are on. >> well, he hasn't got mother teresa...
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Nov 1, 2012
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. >> right. >> so, you know, that's striking. you know, the polling has, i think, generally been slightly pro-romney. so, you know, i don't get the sense that they really think that florida is the best place to be spending their time. they might be writing it off. you know, i think it's really interesting to see wisconsin be such a frequent destination. i believe that romney had not gone to wisconsin for a couple, few months until he went last week or a few days ago. he's going back again. the emphasis on wisconsin right now is interesting. and i think it speaks to the idea that although romney is definitely not giving up on ohio by any means, you know, you do get a sense that they are trying to work these contingency plans. how can we do this without ohio? you know, can we get wisconsin and iowa, you know, you guys have been talking about the ad spending they're doing in pennsylvania and michigan, can they pick off these other states? honestly, i think at the end of the day, it comes down to ohio. and obama has a kiconsistent le
. >> right. >> so, you know, that's striking. you know, the polling has, i think, generally been slightly pro-romney. so, you know, i don't get the sense that they really think that florida is the best place to be spending their time. they might be writing it off. you know, i think it's really interesting to see wisconsin be such a frequent destination. i believe that romney had not gone to wisconsin for a couple, few months until he went last week or a few days ago. he's going back...
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Nov 3, 2012
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that the maximum number of citizens can participate in the process and every person can exercise the right to vote. the obama campaign thanks the republican governor when he did that and then with a boost from early voting, democrat barack obama won the state of florida and the presidency. oops. last year florida's new republican governor rick scott decided he was not going to make that mistake again. rather than expanding voting, the new one decided he would cut the days for early voting almost in half in order to make voting harder. look. at least that's how it works. long, long, long lines for early voting in polls places across florida except this year it's long lines with no relief in sight. we have been getting pictures ever since early voting started in the state. this is how democracy works in florida this year. look at this. get in line. wait and wait. wait an hour. wait four hours. wait five hours. yesterday florida democrats and the nonpartisan group the league of women voters asked the governor to do something about the long lines. they asked him to add a day of voting to open
that the maximum number of citizens can participate in the process and every person can exercise the right to vote. the obama campaign thanks the republican governor when he did that and then with a boost from early voting, democrat barack obama won the state of florida and the presidency. oops. last year florida's new republican governor rick scott decided he was not going to make that mistake again. rather than expanding voting, the new one decided he would cut the days for early voting...
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Nov 4, 2012
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one of the big hurdles that president obama has right now is to get white working males on his side. how do you see that playing out from what you've been able to see on the ground in ohio? >> that's exactly why he went to lake county today. it's a place i know well, i was born and raised in that county and let me tell you, it was a tight one in 2008. barack obama pulled it out by less than 1%, but it's a county that's 95% white and it's a place where barack obama believes that his economic message will resonate. he was hitting it hard in his speech today. the crowd was cheering. but make no mistake, the message that resonates here in ohio and particularly in the 82 out of 88 counties that have businesses that are related to the auto industry is the controversy that's gone on over that widely discredited ad put out by the romney campaign. and if you talk to people on the ground, one of the things that they'll tell you is that they think there has been a backlash against that ad. that the voters here know exactly what's going on in the auto industry. one out of every eight jobs is as
one of the big hurdles that president obama has right now is to get white working males on his side. how do you see that playing out from what you've been able to see on the ground in ohio? >> that's exactly why he went to lake county today. it's a place i know well, i was born and raised in that county and let me tell you, it was a tight one in 2008. barack obama pulled it out by less than 1%, but it's a county that's 95% white and it's a place where barack obama believes that his...
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Nov 1, 2012
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and that's what we're seeing with chris christie and president obama right now. that goes beyond campaigning, but it's something that we as political insiders often say, well, look. these are unpopular decisions. you're going to have problems in your party. it doesn't matter. in a time of crisis, there's nothing else but government leaders who can step in and do something here. whether it's the financial markets, the auto industry or a natural disaster. >> reverend. >> i think he's absolutely right. and let's not make this one-sided. yes, christie will get some backlash from the right, but there are a lot of democrats in new jersey that do not like to see christie in a good light. and i don't think any of them are attacking because christie's doing what governors are supposed to do. we would be attacking him if he didn't do that. so i think both of them deserve credit for doing what they should be doing. >> inbounds or out of bounds, for the super pac to make an ad the last few days featuring the president with chris christie. >> out of bounds. >> stand by. >> i
and that's what we're seeing with chris christie and president obama right now. that goes beyond campaigning, but it's something that we as political insiders often say, well, look. these are unpopular decisions. you're going to have problems in your party. it doesn't matter. in a time of crisis, there's nothing else but government leaders who can step in and do something here. whether it's the financial markets, the auto industry or a natural disaster. >> reverend. >> i think he's...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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right now president obama is losing independents, not by a little. and the second thing is the notion of conventional wisdom about what happens with undecided voters in an incumbent voters that they tend to break at this point for the challenger. so david, explain to me, and chuck after david explain to me, how those two things can be true. how can it be true that president obama is way behind with independents and also be true if conventional wisdom holds that most undecided voters will break for the challenger, and yet it seems right on the basis of everything that we know that president obama is, in fact, the favorite today? >> right. john, i think it's interesting, one of the things that you hear talking to the obama campaign is where they look at these models of late-breaking undecideds. they also are looking at favorable/unfavorable ratings in some of these battleground states and are seeing, as i think our marist/nbc polls indicated, that in a state, chuck, and correct me if i'm wrong, in iowa where you have mitt romney upside down in his favo
right now president obama is losing independents, not by a little. and the second thing is the notion of conventional wisdom about what happens with undecided voters in an incumbent voters that they tend to break at this point for the challenger. so david, explain to me, and chuck after david explain to me, how those two things can be true. how can it be true that president obama is way behind with independents and also be true if conventional wisdom holds that most undecided voters will break...
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Oct 29, 2012
10/12
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and that's what president obama is absolutely committed to doing. >> all right. that was our conversation with valerie jarrett on saturday in nashua. that was nice. >> mark halperin, a week left, almost a week left. you go back to 2004 in boston, and what a ride. what a ride over eight years. >> just an incredible experience for not just the president but all the people around him including valerie. and a lot of stability. you look at the people around him now making this fight to win re-election. it's basically the same group of one or two exceptions as the people who got him elected four years ago. and the stamina and endurance they've shown in both dealing with public service in the government but also helping him try to win re-election, really impressive. >> but mike, it's so much easier to run as the challenger going against the status quo, going against eight years of republican leadership, running against the iraq war. four years later, you've got to run on your own record. the crowds aren't quite as excited. there's not as much hope. you're not talking ab
and that's what president obama is absolutely committed to doing. >> all right. that was our conversation with valerie jarrett on saturday in nashua. that was nice. >> mark halperin, a week left, almost a week left. you go back to 2004 in boston, and what a ride. what a ride over eight years. >> just an incredible experience for not just the president but all the people around him including valerie. and a lot of stability. you look at the people around him now making this...
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Oct 30, 2012
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the public's a bit adrift right now and trying to decide, obama has not been a failure as president, he's not been great, he's not been a failure. is he mediocre? a little better than mediocre? is he somewhere near great? people will disagree on that, but nobody's arguing the issue is in play. romney's been a very effective candidate lately, very effective, and he got rid of his opponents, smashed them to nothing. i think he's got a great team around him. i think the president's team is too small, a little bit narrow and isolated to put it lightly. but i tell you, obama does have that amazing luck. and here's a guy that ran for the senate against two or three opponents who all dropped out because of marital problems. he walked into the united states senate, he was a celebrity before he got there. he ran against hillary and had the war issue against her, beat her on the war issue, took on john mccain when he was really beaten down by then. and here he is facing romney who is a very tough opponent. so this is going to be a close election. they're somewhat equally matched. like one of t
the public's a bit adrift right now and trying to decide, obama has not been a failure as president, he's not been great, he's not been a failure. is he mediocre? a little better than mediocre? is he somewhere near great? people will disagree on that, but nobody's arguing the issue is in play. romney's been a very effective candidate lately, very effective, and he got rid of his opponents, smashed them to nothing. i think he's got a great team around him. i think the president's team is too...